Welcome again to the fifth installment of the Fantasy Baseball Dynasty rankings. As we rely down towards the highest group, we first hit the gamers ranked 125-101.
Here’s a have a look at the breakdown of this week’s grouping:
- 7 gamers between the ages of 30-34
- 13 gamers between the ages of 25-29
- 5 gamers between the ages of 20-24
- 11 beginning pitchers
- 7 outfielders
- 4 infielders
- 1 outfielder/infielder
- 1 catcher
The breakdown for the gamers with regards to their age shouldn’t be shocking in any respect. As we get nearer to the top-ranked gamers, the older gamers are gamers who’re fading away and being changed by gamers who would be the constructing blocks of your workforce. These are the gamers you’ll have for 5 years or extra – not those that fill a void in your workforce.
The variety of pitchers on this grouping is smart as I construct my groups round offense and go after the highest hitters earlier than going for the highest pitchers. You may’t ignore them, however there all the time appear to be pitchers who come out of nowhere and turn out to be studs in comparison with hitters. Often, for those who can hit, you hit within the minors and carry it over to the majors. However for a lot of pitchers, the early struggles you see within the minors or early phases of their MLB profession aren’t all the time a great indicator of what their profession will turn out to be.
Now on to the Fantasy Baseball Dynasty Rankings: 125-101…
*Ages as of April 1, 2024
The Outfielders – Each Younger and Previous
Brandon Nimmo is the outdated man on this group, however that doesn’t imply his abilities are diminished. He’s coming off a 2023 season wherein he slashed .274/.363/.466 with 24 homers and 68 RBI. That’s remarkably near what he did in 2022 (.274/.367/.433, 16-64) and on par together with his profession numbers. His Avg. EV ranked within the 88th percentile and his Laborious-Hit% ranked within the 84th percentile.
Sal Frelick began shortly for Milwaukee when recalled from the minors in July however leveled off throughout August and September to complete the season with three homers, 24 RBI, and 7 steals in 57 video games with a .246/.341/.351 slash line. Whereas the numbers don’t look nice, he had a 12.6% stroll charge with a low 16.6% strikeout charge. He has sufficient energy to succeed in 15 to twenty homers and positively sufficient pace to simply attain 30 steals if given common enjoying time.
I don’t suppose Ian Happ has reached his ceiling but. His numbers had been higher than common final season (21 homers, 84 RBI final season with 14 steals, and a .248/.360/.431 slash line) and his profession 162-game common is 24 homers, 76 RBI with a .249/.343/.454 slash line. However 3 times throughout his profession he has slugged greater than .500 and his profession OPS+ is 113. In August and September of final season, Happ slugged .493 with 11 homers, 37 RBI, and 5 steals in 55 video games. That could be a 32 homer, 109 RBI 162-game tempo, and I believe Happ will be nearer to that type of participant.
James Outman had a pleasant rookie season for the Dodgers. Whereas he hit solely .248, he had a .353 OBP to go together with a .437 slugging share, 23 homers, 70 RBI, and 16 steals to complete third within the NL ROY voting. He struck out an excessive amount of (31.9% Okay charge), however his Chase% ranked within the 73rd percentile and he had a 12.0% stroll charge, rating within the 86th percentile. At 25 he was a little bit outdated for a rookie final 12 months, however there’s some good upside to his recreation.
Nook Infielder with Upside
Ryan Mountcastle of the Orioles was restricted to 115 video games final season, miserable his energy numbers to 18 homers and 68 RBI. However Mountcastle hits the ball laborious as he ranked within the eightieth percentile or greater in xwOBA, xBA, xSLG, Avg. EV, and Barrel% and within the seventieth percentile in Laborious-Hit% and Candy-Spot%. The deep left area dimensions at Camden Yards will doubtless stop Mountcastle from reaching the 33 dingers he hit in 2021, however he’s a stable 25-85 hitter who’s getting into the prime of his profession.
Common is a Good, Actually!
Luis Arraez of the Marlins does one factor very, very effectively – he hits for common. He solely hit 10 residence runs this previous season, however that was a profession excessive. The vital line regarding Arraez is a slash of .354/.393/.469. This got here after slashing .316/.375/.420 in 2022 for the Twins. For his profession, he’s a .326 hitter with a .379 OBP. Batting common is now not utilized in many leagues, however OBP is and due to his excessive common, Arraez will proceed to assist your workforce’s OBP.
Definitely worth the Hype
Kodai Senga got here to the US from Japan with a number of hype, and for good purpose, for those who have a look at his profession throughout the Pacific. However as is all the time the case with gamers coming from Japan or Korea to the U.S., there was some skepticism about Senga. There shouldn’t been any. All he did was go 12-7 for a Mets workforce that tanked with a 2.98 ERA and 1.22 WHIP. He completed the 12 months with a Okay/9 charge of 10.9 and his strikeout share ranked within the 87th percentile. The one purpose he isn’t ranked greater is as a result of he’s 31. For the following three years, that’s no large deal. However if you’re constructing a dynasty workforce, then there are youthful pitchers I’d fairly have.
Growing older however nonetheless Good
Willson Contreras is among the higher hitting catchers within the recreation. Final season he hit 20 homers whereas slashing .264/.358/.467 for the St. Louis Cardinals. He ranked within the 79th percentile in Barrel% and within the 93rd percentile in xwOBA and was between the 81st and 86th percentile in xBA, xSLG, Avg. EV and Laborious-Hit%. However like Senga, Contreras is 31 this season and catchers typically don’t age effectively. So whereas he ought to be stable on the plate this 12 months and subsequent season, after that who is aware of what to anticipate.
Stable Rookie Season
For those who have a look at Tanner Bibee’s StatCast numbers, nothing actually jumps out as being overwhelming. He ranks from the 52nd to 79th percentile in most pitching classes. However there’s one space the place he was excellent – run worth. In general Pitching Run Worth, he ranked within the 97th percentile. He ranked within the 86th percentile in Fastball Run Worth, 88th in Breaking Run Worth, and 89th in Offspead Run Worth. He strikes out almost a batter per inning and walks solely 2.9 batters per 9. And this shouldn’t be a one-time factor. His profession ERA within the minors was 2.13 with a 0.97 WHIP in 148 innings.
Hunter Greene has proven flashes of brilliance on the mound. However he has additionally been very irritating. Greene was restricted to 22 begins this previous season and completed 4-7 with a 4.82 ERA. However he has the power to be so a lot better. His fastball velo ranks within the 97th percentile and his Okay% ranks within the 91st percentile, resulting in a 12.2 Okay/9 charge in 2023. His downfall proper now could be his lack of command as he walked 3.9 batters per 9. If he can ever command the arsenal of pitches he has, he could be a dominant pitcher.
Older however nonetheless Good
Joe Musgove has been one of many higher pitchers in baseball since becoming a member of the San Diego Padres. In three seasons he has gone 31-19 with a 3.12 ERA and 1.10 WHIP. His stroll charge has decreased every season, going from 2.7 to 1.9 final season. However Musgrove has additionally seen his strikeout share go from 10.1 to 9.1 to 9.0 final 12 months, a season wherein he was restricted to 97 innings. Musgrove ought to come again sturdy this season, however at 31, he’s getting nearer to the top of his profession than the beginning of it. That mentioned, he isn’t going to drop off the pitching cliff within the subsequent three years and can put up stable to above numbers.
Undervalued Second Baseman
There are a number of gamers with long-term potential at second base, and a type of gamers is Andres Gimenez. In 2022, his first full season within the majors, Gimenez slashed .297/.371/.466 with 17 homers, 69 RBI and 20 steals. This previous season his slash line of .251/.314/.399 didn’t match what he did in 2022. Nonetheless, he nonetheless hit 15 homers and drove in 62 runs with 30 steals. That’s most likely his flooring – and I’ll take that. However I believe there’s nonetheless room for extra energy.
Certainly one of Many Reds
The Cincinnati Reds have a number of gamers who’re making fantasy house owners drool. However one participant who shouldn’t be missed is TJ Friedl. Given an opportunity to be the principle middle fielder in ’23, Friedl slashed .279/.352/.467 with 73 runs scored, 18 residence runs, 66 RBI and 27 steals. He doesn’t wow anybody together with his EV, Barrel% or Laborious-Hit%, however he doesn’t strike out a lot and he’s an above common baserunner, permitting him to rack up the steals and take the additional base to get into scoring place.
Chas McCormick of the Astros isn’t who you instantly consider when discussing high outfielders. One purpose for that’s as a result of former supervisor Dusty Baker refused to place him into the lineup on daily basis final season, limiting his enjoying time and numbers. However when McCormick was within the lineup, he was a top-hitting outfielder, slashing .273/.353/.489 with 22 residence runs, 70 RBI, and 19 steals. Eligible in any respect three outfield spots, McCormick is anticipated to get most of his time in left area this season. Amongst left fielders, he ranked within the high 15 in homers (tenth), RBI (14th), SB (ninth), AVG (fifteenth), OBP (fifteenth) and SLG (tenth). His .842 OPS ranked eighth as did his 130 OPS+. He has to show 2023 wasn’t a fluke, however I don’t suppose it was.
Certainly one of My Favorites
I might need an unhealthy crush on Jordan Westburg as I’ve traded for him in two leagues so as to add to the groups I have already got him on. Perhaps I’ve blinders on, however I like what he brings to the sport. He has the facility to ship 20 or extra residence runs and he ought to be capable of attain 20 steals. He’ll simply must make a couple of changes to get some extra elevate on the ball. Even when that doesn’t result in a number of homers to left area in Baltimore, it is going to on the street and a bunch of doubles in residence video games to spice up his slugging share.
Gradual and Regular Progress
Braxton Garrett is the poster boy of younger pitchers who want time to determine issues out on the foremost league stage. After making two begins in 2020, Garrett made seven begins in 2021. In a mixed 41.2 innings these two seasons, he allowed 50 hits and 25 walks for a whopping 1.80 ERA to go together with a hefty 5.18 ERA. However during the last two seasons, Garrett has turn out to be a stable pitcher who has not reached his ceiling but. He had a 3.58 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in 88 innings of labor in 2022 and final 12 months, in 159.02 innings, he had a 3.66 ERA and 1.15 WHIP. During the last two seasons, his stroll charge has gone from 6.4% to 4.4% whereas posting strikeout charges of 24.1% and 23.7%. He’s simply getting into his prime and I count on he’ll solely get higher.
Final week I talked about how I’ve been overlooking Bailey Ober of the Twins. This week the Neglected Pitcher of the Week is Freddy Peralta of the Brewers. He didn’t have a fantastic ERA final 12 months at 3.86, particularly in comparison with the 2 earlier seasons when it was 2.81 and three.58. However what makes Peralta a fantastic pitcher to have in your employees is the nice WHIP and strikeout charge he has. His profession WHIP is 1.12 and his profession Okay/9 charge is 11.6. During the last three seasons that Okay/9 charge is 11.4. His xERA and xBA had been within the 82nd and 83rd percentile final 12 months whereas his Whiff% and Okay% each ranked within the 92nd percentile.
One other Rays Success Story
You probably have a pitcher in your employees and he’s traded to or indicators with Tampa Bay, you need to be comfortable. For everything of his profession in Philadelphia, Zach Eflin was simply a median pitcher. He has a profession ERA of 4.28 with a 1.28 WHIP, 7.9 Okay/9 charge, 2.0 BB/9 charge, and a 4.01 Okay/BB charge. Then comes 2023 and Eflin winds up in Tampa Bay. All he did was go 16-8 with a 3.50 ERA and 1.02 WHIP. His Okay/9 charge jumped to 9.4 whereas the BB/9 charge fell to 1.2 and his Okay/BB charge was a unbelievable 7.75.
Walker Buehler was excellent for the Los Angeles Dodgers from 2018 by means of 2021. Throughout that span, he by no means posted an ERA greater than 3.44 and his worst WHIP was 1.04. In 2021 he had a career-best season, going 16-4 with a 2.47 ERA and 0.97 WHIP. In 207.6 innings over 33 begins, he struck out 212 batters. However in June of 2022, he underwent Tommy John surgical procedure and he missed all of final season. However contemplating the success charge of the process as we speak, there isn’t a purpose to suppose Buehler gained’t be capable of return to type.
I’ve a love-hate relationship with Aaron Nola. That’s as a result of when he’s on, he is among the greatest pitchers in baseball. However when he’s off, he can blow up your ERA for the week. Final season he had a 4.46 ERA – not a fantastic quantity for a pitcher who’s the ace of the Phillies employees. Nola allowed 4 earned runs or extra in 15 of his 32 begins and 4 occasions topped 5 or extra earned runs. Then there’s the nice aspect of Nola. During the last three years, he has a ten.3 Okay/9 charge and had a 25.5% strikeout charge final 12 months whereas rating within the 87th percentile in stroll charge. For those who can survive his unhealthy durations, Nola is a stable pitcher to have.
I believe Riley Greene is primed to be one of many gamers who’s ranked a lot greater this time subsequent 12 months. His numbers weren’t overly eye-popping this previous season as he slashed .288/.349/.447 with 11 homers, 37 RBI, and 7 steals in 99 video games. However he ranked within the 74th percentile or better within the following classes: xwOBA, xBA, xSLG, Avg. EV, Barrel%, Laborious-Hit%, and Candy-Spot%.
Greene is recovering from Tommy John surgical procedure on his non-throwing proper elbow, and the damage price him all of September. However he supposedly ought to be good to go on Opening Day and he’ll hit his stride in 2024.
Fielding? Who Wants Fielding?
Christopher Morel can play various positions within the area, however he can’t play any of them very effectively. Due to that, he’ll doubtless obtain nearly all of at-bats at DH for the Cubs. However that’s high quality with me so long as he maintains eligibility at a couple of positions for future seasons. In 107 video games and 388 at-bats final 12 months, he hit 26 homers and drove in 70 runs whereas slashing .247/.313/.508. He ranked within the eighty fifth percentile in xSLG (.489) and ranked 91st or higher in Avg. EV (92.1 mph), Barrel% (15.9), and Laborious-Hit% (50.0). In different phrases, he hits the ball laborious and he can hit it far.
The Canadian Twinkie
Relying on which stats you have a look at, Edouard Julien is both being overrated right here or underrated. Common them out and he lands at No. 103 for me. In his rookie season final 12 months, Julien had a 31.4% strikeout charge and batted .263. However in his 338 at-bats, he hit 16 homers and drove in 37 runs whereas posting a 15.7 stroll charge, resulting in a .381 OBP. Couple that together with his .459 SLG, and he had a really good .839 OPS. And whereas he had solely three steals with the Twins, he confirmed his skill to swipe bases within the minors. It could not be shocking to see him get near 25 homers and 10 steals this season to go together with a really good OBP.
Framber Valdez had a fantastic 2022 season, going 17-6 with a 2.82 ERA, 1.157 WHIP and a 135 ERA+. Moreover, he had a 8.7 Okay/9 charge and three.0 BB/9 charge. Final season, relying on which numbers you go by, he was almost nearly as good as final 12 months if not a little bit higher. He had a better ERA at 3.45 however a greater WHIP because of a 2.6 BB/9 charge. His ERA+ was 122, so not an enormous drop off and his Okay/9 charge improved to 9.1. He even threw a no-hitter towards Cleveland. However after the no-no, his last 10 begins of the season had been a mixture of good and unhealthy as he allowed six earned runs or extra in three of them and likewise had 4 or extra walks in three begins whereas seeing his Okay/9 charge drop to 7.04. I’m chalking it as much as only a actually unhealthy stretch and contemplate him one of many higher pitchers within the recreation.
5 Innings of Greatness
If for some purpose you demand that your beginning pitchers provide you with six or extra innings per begin, then Blake Snell isn’t the pitcher for you. For his profession, he averages simply over 5 innings per begin, with that quantity being helped by his 180 innings of labor final season in 32 begins. For those who additionally need a pitcher who doesn’t stroll hitters, then Snell, once more, isn’t the pitcher for you. He has a profession BB/9 charge of 4.1, together with a 5.0 charge final season. However if you would like a pitcher who can dominate in any other case, then Snell is the person for you.
However Snell can also be the identical pitcher who has gained two Cy Younger Awards, successful his second in 2023 after going 14-9 with a 2.25 ERA and 1.189 ERA because of permitting solely 5.8 H/9 to offset his stroll charge. He additionally struck out 11.9 hitters per 9 and his profession Okay/9 charge is 11.1. However like a number of different pitchers on this grouping, age prevents me from rating Snell greater.
Come Again Subsequent Week
Thanks for studying and are available again once more subsequent week for Fantasy Baseball Dynasty Rankings: 100-76.
If that you must catch up, listed below are the earlier rankings: